Australian Dollar Outlook - 27 June 2014
By Christine Gaylican | June 27, 2014 11:31 AM EST
Bell FX Currency Outlook: The Australian Dollar has consolidated above 94 cents after a quiet session.
Australia: Yesterday saw another quiet session for the AUD as it traded within a 30 point range. The only Australian data out yesterday was ABS
job vacancies, which rose 2.5% over three months to May, although this drew little reaction from the market. Overnight the AUD roughly correlated
with US equities as data was mostly in line with expectations (although consumer spending was a touch softer).
The AUD/USD sways with the latest economic indicators aside from the dictates of monetary policies in the U.S. and China's economic growth.
We came off highs as the St Louis Federal Reserve Bank President James Bullard told Fox Business Network that he favors raising rates in early 2015, earlier than most of his colleagues at the Fed. This saw some general support for the USD.
The exception was against the NZD, which continued its strong run since the start of June, gaining another half cent overnight (against the USD) to
0.8780 and is up from 84 cents at the start of the month.
Today looks to be another quiet one, with no domestic data, although the RBA Assistant Governor Chris Kent will appear before the House of Representatives Standing Committee on Economics Inquiry into foreign investment in residential real estate. Also out today is Japanese CPI and unemployment data.
Majors: As stated above the USD was broadly stronger following the comments from Bullard. As far as US data went, the Fed's preferred measure of inflation, the core personal consumption expenditure, printed in line with expectations at 0.2% MoM.
Personal spending slightly missed expectations (0.2% vs. 0.4% expected) and initial jobless claims were 2k worse than expected at 312k, but none of this had much effect on the market. The GBP rose to near a five year high before tonight's UK GDP report which is expected to show a 0.8% expansion in the first quarter of this year.
European data takes centre stage tonight as French GDP, Eurozone consumer and business confidence and German CPI are also released.
27 JUN JN Natl CPI YoY May
CH Industrial Profits YTD YoY May
UK GDP QoQ/YoY 1Q
EC Consumer Confidence Jun
For the latest pricing, ranges visit www.bellpotter.com.au
To contact the editor, e-mail: