USD/CHF Breaks Key Trendline Following Fed’s QE3 Announcement

Forex Technical Update

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USD/CHF Daily Chart 9/14/2012 7:15APM EDT

The Fed's announcement of QE3 smacked the USD across the board. This reaction extended against most currency pairs. The USD/CHF's reaction first tested a previously broken pivot at 0.9420, where it found support, followed by a sharp decline that is now extending below a key rising trendline, seen more clearly in the weekly chart.

In the daily chart above, you can seen bearish momentum developing as the RSI breaks below 30, and you can see price action breaking below the 200-day SMA as well as accelerating below the already declining channel support.

In the weekly chart below, you can see that the declining is really going against a bull run from the 0.7065 low of August 2011 to the 0.9971 high of July 2012. So far we have retraced 23.6% of this almost 1 year rally. With that in perspective, note the RSI is coming down to test 40. A break below 40 reflects loss of this year-long build up of bullish momentum. Price action will probably have key support in the 0.8930 support area up to the 0.90 psychological handle. A break below 0.89 would be a major sign that USD/CHF has turned from bullish to sideways-to-bearish in this time-frame.

USD/CHF Weekly Chart 9/14/2012

Fan Yang CMT is a forex trader, analyst, educator and Chief Technical Strategist for FXTimes - provider of Forex News, Analysis, Education, Videos, Charts, and other trading resources.

Information and opinions contained in this report are for educational purposes only and do not constitute an investment advice. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness. FXTimes will not accept liability for any loss of profit or damage which may arise directly, indirectly or consequently from use of or reliance on the trading set-ups or any accompanying chart analysis.