USD/CAD Fundamental Analysis March 21, 2012, Forecast

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March 21, 2012 11:53 AM EST

FXEmpire

Analysis and Recommendations:

The USD/CAD is trading at 0.9913, as the USD picked up momentum and held throughout the session. The pair peaked at 0.9969 after opening at 0.9870 that was a huge swing. There were no economic releases in Canada today.

In the US today, construction on new U.S. homes fell 1.1% in February to an annual rate of 698,000, but permits rose 5.1%, the Commerce Department. Housing starts in January were revised up to 706,000 from an original reading of 699,000

Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner said that troubled European countries should take a steady, multi-year approach to fixing their budgets. "The path of fiscal consolidation should be gradual with a multi-year phase-in of reforms," 

Investors were increasingly bullish about prospects for global growth and a smaller number expected further rounds of quantitative easing (QE) by central banks, according to the Bank of America Merrill Lynch survey.

Markets are becoming worried about the overall effects of an economic slowdown in China, which started to become obvious over the past two weeks.

 

Economic Releases March 20, 2012 Asia, Europe and the US

Mar. 20

00:00

 

AUD

     

CB Leading Index (MoM) 

1.1%

     

-0.3% 

   

 

08:00

 

EUR

     

German PPI (MoM) 

0.4%

 

0.5% 

 

0.6% 

   

 

09:15

 

CHF

     

Industrial Production (QoQ) 

7.9%

 

0.4% 

 

-2.0% 

   

 

10:30

 

GBP

     

Core CPI (YoY) 

2.4%

 

2.4% 

 

2.6% 

   

 

10:30

 

GBP

     

CPI (YoY) 

3.4%

 

3.4% 

 

3.6% 

   

 

10:30

 

GBP

     

RPI (YoY) 

3.7%

 

3.4% 

 

3.9% 

   

 

12:00

 

GBP

     

CBI Industrial Trends Orders 

-8

 

-5 

 

-3 

   

 

12:30

 

EUR

     

Spanish Trade Balance 

-3.65B

 

-4.50B 

 

-4.50B 

   

 

13:30

 

USD

     

Building Permits 

0.72M

 

0.69M 

 

0.68M 

   

 

13:30

 

USD

     

Housing Starts 

0.70M

 

0.70M 

 

0.71M 

   

 

14:00

 

RUB

     

Russian Retail Sales (YoY) 

7.7%

 

7.3% 

 

6.8% 

   

 

14:00

 

RUB

     

Russian Unemployment Rate 

6.5%

 

6.7% 

 

6.6% 

   

 

16:30

 

USD

     

4-Week Bill Auction 

0.100%

     

0.070% 

   

 

10:30     GBP      MPC Meeting Minutes                 

The Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes are a detailed record of the Bank of England's policy setting meeting, containing in-depth insights into the economic conditions that influenced the decision on where to set interest rates. The breakdown of the MPC members' interest rate votes tends to be the most important part of the minutes.

13:30     CAD      Leading Indicators (MoM)

The Leading Indicators Index is a composite index based on 10 economic indicators, that is designed to predict the future direction of the economy. The report tends to have a limited impact because most of the indicators used in the calculation are released previously.

 15:00    USD      Existing Home Sales

Existing Home Sales measures the change in the annualized number of existing residential buildings that were sold during the previous month. This report helps to gauge the strength of the U.S. housing market and is a key indicator of overall economic strength.

Government Bond Auctions (this week)

Mar 22  10:10  Sweden  I/L bond auction

Mar 22  10.30  UK  Auctions 0.625% 2042 I/L Gilt

Mar 22  15:00  US

Announces auctions of 2Y Notes on Mar 27, 5Y Notes on Mar

28 & 7Y Notes on Mar 29

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